Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2017

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Leo3.14
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2017

Post by Leo3.14 » 09 Jul 2017, 08:15

lucky-luck wrote:
09 Jul 2017, 07:08
14.3 ;)
14.3, juist, excuus
Goud is een cyclisch metaal.


Leo3.14
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2017

Post by Leo3.14 » 15 Jul 2017, 06:20

Leo3.14 wrote:
04 Jul 2017, 22:26
https://slimbeleggen.com/tradingposts/b ... ll-market/

BAC meent dat we ah toppen zijn.
1 dag na een nieuwe ATH van de Dow, 14 dagen na nieuwe ATH van de Nas.

Ze vergeten te zeggen dat hun 'indicator' in 2000 nog x 2 ging.
Dow tekent intussen nieuwe highs, Nas al terug boven 50 mA, ready for the next leg up.
Dit is verre van gedaan.
Goud is een cyclisch metaal.

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Spruitje
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Joined: 19 Oct 2011, 01:34

Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2017

Post by Spruitje » 17 Jul 2017, 22:48

Florian Grummes op Commodity TV (over: Goud - Zilver - GDX - Crypto)
Als we een week aan $1260-1265 kunnen draaien gaan we naar $1500 volgens hem (en gaan ze op het freegoldforum weer 'zottekes' doen)
Rarely we can experience such a high level of pessimism like last week. Basically everybody was bearish - even the analysts that I like to follow. Everybody was calling for gold to move below 1,200 USD and even to crash towards 1,100 USD and lower. Although this extrem sentiment has not been reflected by the daily optix data from www.sentimentrader.com it was very obvious if you skipped through most of the precious metals sites and forums.

I think this is really great news as it is exactly what I was waiting for in this summer. Yes, I thought gold could hold around 1,235 USD and the lows came in at 1,205 USD but now we have this very oversold set up on the daily and weekly chart in combination with a bullish CoT-Report and a strong seasonal cycle.
On top Gold is sitting just 30 USD below its six year downtrend line at around 1,265 USD. It did not loose eye contact and could now finally clear this level in just one or two trading sessions...

Especially the weekly oversoldness gives a lot of room for a multi-month rally. Once gold can break out above the 1,260/1,265 USD resistance it should quickly run towards the next resistance around 1,295/1,300 USD. After that the next target is 1,375 USD. And as I have been writing for many months if gold breaks through this depressing six year downtrend line a multi-month bullish liberation rally towards around 1,500 USD until next spring is very likely.

Of course I am just cooking with water like everyone else and of course I can not see into the future. Therefore we have to prepare a worst case scenario as well. I think if gold now moves below 1,205 USD it is clear that the correction is not yet over and I´d advise to use 1,200 USD as the ultimate stop loss for any speculative trading positions.

Physical investor should relax and not worry too much about any possible downside action. Gold will always make a comeback and is currently pretty cheap - especially in Euro! So this is a clear buy recommendation for physical gold and silver at current levels!
Silver has been correcting since last July! Yes, that´s 12 months in total... It did not confirm the recent higher highs in gold but remained weak.

Yet on Friday 7th of July the tight silver-market experienced a flash crash seeing the September contract dropping 11% within a couple of seconds from 16.14 USD down to 14.34 USD. Certainly another case of high frequency trading, technical glitches, blind algorithmic robots and a very questionable form of manipulation. Fortunately prices quickly recovered and are now back above 16.00 USD.

But as worrisome as it may have seem on this Friday I think the silver-market now is cleared from all the weak hands and any stops below the technical important levels around and below 15.80 USD. You would need extremely deep pockets to sit through such a drawdown. So I guess any speculative money has been shaken out...!! And that´s very positive!

Of course technically the chart is currently broken but I believe the 12 months correction has ended with a final capitulation that now opens up the door for a new multi-months rally. We are just at the beginning!

With the recent flash crash experience in mind it is very clear again that trading silver doesn't make too much sense at all. Instead you should focus on the physical metal and on the silver mining stocks! If gold can indeed move towards 1,500 USD by next spring silver should run towards 26,00 USD. Some of the top silver mining stocks can easily triple or even quintuple during such a move. Therefore I will come up with two new buy recommendations in the boxes below....
Study while others are sleeping; work while others are loafing; prepare while others are playing; and dream while others are wishing.
- William Arthur Ward -

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doubleyou
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2017

Post by doubleyou » 17 Jul 2017, 23:59

Al die voorspellingen blijven wat ze zijn,
hoe dikwijls hebben we nu de voorbije jaren bv. die guldensporenslag (1302) horde al gekruisd ?
Nog een 70 dik vals plat alvorens we daar opnieuw zijn.

En ook na de nieuwe, nog niet ontgonnen hoogtes van deze ronde dit jaar, zijn er die afdalingen.

In de koers kan het schoon zijn, maar voor de goudprijs...horendul wordt je ervan. :roll:
Het brengt weinig zoden aan de "winst"dijk. :?
"Feeling good, safe and prepared for the future with my own created Central Bank" (doubleyou)

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doubleyou
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2017

Post by doubleyou » 18 Jul 2017, 00:00

But that's what an insurance is for ;)
"Feeling good, safe and prepared for the future with my own created Central Bank" (doubleyou)

Dirkgold
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Joined: 01 Sep 2012, 19:54

spock update

Post by Dirkgold » 18 Jul 2017, 12:14

https://goldtadise.com/?p=407666
IMG_2674.PNG
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Leo3.14
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2017

Post by Leo3.14 » 19 Jul 2017, 20:29

Leo3.14 wrote:
15 Jul 2017, 06:20
Leo3.14 wrote:
04 Jul 2017, 22:26
https://slimbeleggen.com/tradingposts/b ... ll-market/

BAC meent dat we ah toppen zijn.
1 dag na een nieuwe ATH van de Dow, 14 dagen na nieuwe ATH van de Nas.

Ze vergeten te zeggen dat hun 'indicator' in 2000 nog x 2 ging.
Dow tekent intussen nieuwe highs, Nas al terug boven 50 mA, ready for the next leg up.
Dit is verre van gedaan.
Nasdaq nieuwe ATH : veel sterker dan Dow.
Momentum van Nflx / NVDA/ AMZN en andere fB 's eens bekijken.
WOW. :shock:
Just getting started zei ik dus.

Goud is bijzaak nu.
Goud is een cyclisch metaal.

Leo3.14
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Posts: 1475
Joined: 14 Dec 2013, 21:52

Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2017

Post by Leo3.14 » 27 Jul 2017, 08:05

Nasdaq nieuwe ATH
is intussen weer dagelijkse kost.
QQQ premaket 145.5$ : continuationgapke in de maak ?

Vix op ATH : shorters stromen massaal toe....
Dow : nog 1.3 te gaan tot de 23K: coming soon.

Goud wordt meegezogen : bounceke komt eran: mijnen geven koopsignaal
Goud is een cyclisch metaal.

Leo3.14
Gold Member
Posts: 1475
Joined: 14 Dec 2013, 21:52

Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2017

Post by Leo3.14 » 27 Jul 2017, 14:12

Zilver monthly :3° keer koopsignaal : derde keer goede keer !?
Ik denk van wel.


silv20177.jpg
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Goud is een cyclisch metaal.

Dirkgold
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Joined: 01 Sep 2012, 19:54

gsr , keep it simple

Post by Dirkgold » 27 Jul 2017, 15:22

https://goldtadise.com/?p=408354
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