Hooimijt Maart 2012

[Spruitje]

Voor wat het waard is: ...
Elliott wave predicts $32659 gold on 16 Jan 2015
by Bron Suchecki - GoldChat
Published : March 19th, 2012

Nick from Sharelynx with help from Geoff S has put together an Elliott Wave theory prediction using 'The Golden Mean' & 'Fibonacci Sequences' to arrive at the future price of gold. Click here for the chart.

It predicts the next peak as $3,559 in Jan 2013 with an eventual peak of $32,659 gold on 16 Jan 2015. Nick's comments:

The first two uplegs (blue line) generate (through the formulas) the future uplegs (red line) as the price heads to it's peak at W5(5). The Time, Price and Percentage of each leg up & down are shown on the edge of the chart.

So having left W4(A) behind the next 16 months we are heading up to W4(B). Presumptions are that the blue line (actual gold price) will stay above the red line for the first 1/2 of the next upleg falling to below the red line for the second half of the upleg and rising steeply into the peak of W4(B) as gold likes to do.

Perhaps gold's final top is W4(D) or W5(1) or higher and perhaps the timing doesn't play out right but this presumably will be something close to the shape of gold's rise over the next few years.

A nice speculation and one to dream about. I'm certainly going to be bookmarking this chart and checking back from time to time. If it works out with reasonable give and take then I think Nick will achieve Guru status within the precious metals internet community.

Link

[Boefke]

@Rasta

Zoals ik al zei, wellicht

[Boefke]

@Spruitje

Wat je zegt, voor wat het waard is. We zullen het snel weten, Januari 2013 is niet zo gek lang meer weg.
Kijk wel uit met wat je post over deze beste man, voor je het weet wil men er een aparte draad voor aanleggen, en/of verheffen tot "god"-status (cynisch).

[Spruitje]

Tja, "n twitter-account van 'n forum houdt wel in dat je inderdaad regelmatig iets te melden hebt. 'n Bekend figuur kan in 'n rustige periode nog eens 'n tweet de wereld insturen dat deze de laatste uren al 3 of 4 keer naar de pot is geweest of 'n uitstapje maakt naar zee. Voor 'n forum ligt zoiets moeilijker, tenzij dat er 'n monitoring komt van ons toiletgebruik.

@ Boefke: Ik denk dat deze man eerst wel wat meer bewijzen zal moeten voorleggen en z'n voorspellingen wat meer zal moeten onderbouwen voor hij hier 'n eigen draad zal krijgen. Als z'n voorspelling van 2013 klopt, mag hij wel 'n draadje krijgen hoor, ik denk dat niemand daar op dat moment 'n probleem mee gaat hebben.

[eduro]

Artikel over de groeiende problemen tussen de ecb en de bundesbank.

Ik heb het niet voorbij zien komen. onderhuids nemen de spanningen toe.

http://www.spiegel.de/international/ger ... 55,00.html

snip;

Only a few weeks ago, it looked as though Draghi's arrival in office would usher in an era of harmony at Frankfurt's Eurotower, the ECB headquarters. Germany's monetary policy hardliners had resigned, and even Germany's mass circulation Bild newspaper welcomed the former head of Italy's central bank as "quite German," and even as "very Prussian." But the conflict between Europe's two most important monetary policymakers has become increasingly apparent, and it's compounded almost on a weekly basis by contentious new issues. One day Weidmann votes against special conditions for the ECB with regard to the Greek debt haircut, the next day he objects to the long maturities on Draghi's loans to banks.

Last week, the conflict escalated to a new level. Weidmann complained in a letter to ECB President Draghi that the central bank was accepting increasingly lower-grade collateral in exchange for its cash injections. This poses a danger, he warned, as the central banks in the north of the euro zone are owed ever growing amounts of money by their counterparts in the south. If the euro zone broke apart, the Bundesbank would be left holding a good deal of its bad debt from so-called TARGET2 loans, which currently amount to some €500 billion ($660 billion), he warned.

[eduro]

Wat meer info over de Japanse problemen

Recall the Jackass forecast made last April and May 2011, that the Japanese Economy would suffer from a rising Yen currency, then post some big trade deficits. Few paid attention, but both happened. The Yen has recently surged downward after yet another gigantic QE, the 527th in twenty years by the Bank of Japan. The more important data point is the newly posted January trade deficit of JPY1.382 trillion (=US$17.0 bn), a new historical record. The deficit is up 245.9% compared to the period one year ago. The matching Current Account deficit totaled JPY 437.3 billion in the month, much larger than economist forecasts. The C/A deficit accounts for financial flows in asset purchase. The forecast of a trade deficit occurred on schedule. China has many new shiny factories, with Japanese owners and plant output that supplies the Japanese Economy. They also feature fields of Japanese equipment. Both the natural disaster and Chinese creep are responsible, but the proximal cause is the Global QE and globally adopted 0% rate that is killing capital worldwide. The trade deficit far exceeds a JPY 967.9 billion trade deficit recorded in January 2009, in the wake of the investment bank failure at Lehman Brothers. For the full year 2011, Japan marked a trade deficit of JPY 2.493 trillion. The gap is accelerating wider. It was the first time in 31 years that the country had a trade deficit on an annual basis. The Japanese exports in January stood at JPY 4.51 trillion, down 9.3% from the corresponding month in 2011. It was the fourth consecutive monthly decline on a year-on-year basis.

[eduro]

Edgar Cayce is known for many scientific facts, like the wobble in the earth's rotation and its relation to geological instability. He also made some amazing references to Russia for its special place in the cosmic plan. He foresaw a vital role as the West entered its twilight economically. In 1944 he wrote, "In Russia there comes the hope of the world, not as that sometimes termed of the communistic, or Bolshevik. No, but freedom freedom! That each man will live for his fellow man! The principle has been born. It will take years for it to be crystallized, but out of Russia comes again the hope of the world." The words of the Sleeping Prophet Cayce have proved true. Many Hat Trick Letter subscribers have resisted my notion that Russia holds hope for the West, with free markets, with commodity supply, with gold vault services, with safe haven. It will come, all of it. Some bumps in the road have been seen with resource and mineral deposit confiscation, and contract violations. Consider them adjustments to the chessboard, hard to justify, but based in resets if not paybacks from the Yeltsin years.

For confirmation, consider the opinion of an excellent contact with global consulting experience that includes Russia during the turbulent 1990 decade when Yeltin had brief rule. He had direct experience, not in the US-Anglo attempt to control the Russian leadership through the oil company cable lines, but in the cleanup afterwards. He is also fluent in Russian and two other languages. He wrote, "Russia and China will counter any attack by the American-led cabal. With Putin back in the Kremlin, their cabal is back at a disadvantage, since the man is thinking strategically and not tactically. Russians play chess and are always five moves ahead of everyone else. One day in the not to distant future, we shall be thankful to have Russia for what it is. First they will break the back of the NWO Boyz, and secondly they will balance the scale when it comes to China. To do that they will need Germany, as they have needed them many times before during the course of history. Today's Russia is not the Soviet Union (CCCP). Today's Russia is the old Russia with 21st century tools, expertise, extremely well educated people, and resources that are beyond people's wildest imagination. Over the last weekend, Putin and Demedew had Berlusconi as guest for sking in Sochi. Russia will take over Libya's assets in Italy, that include refineries, gas stations, bank holdings, ports, and more. Once Italy goes towards default, it will have already been rescued by Russia. Hence Russia counter-balances China's Europe expansion. China de-facto owns Greece today but the dimwitted Greeks holler and scream at Germany for destroying them. The real German decision makers do not care at all about the sideshows. For them the Euro exists, and the alliance with Russia, China, and the Middle East is a done deal. Then there is Africa, where the United States will have many wars triggered to fight the Chinese and all their other adversaries, a lost cause for sure. Yes, Russia plays a vital role in what is going to happen the DAY AFTER and right now." Notice reference to the Eastern Alliance with Germany at its core counsel role, and secretive leadership role that is never in the news.

voorbereidende acties voor de Duits/Russische/Chinese alliantie???

[kobajashi]

Hallo

Heeft iemand hier de volledige (betalende) versie van LEAP GEAB editie 62?

Ik zou deze graag eens nalezen omdat ze blijkbaar de huizenmarkt (en mogelijke crash) in het westen behandelen.


Mvg


Koba

[doubleyou]

.
Uiteindelijk telt KOOPKRACHT en valt al het ander in het niet.
Voor de ene is het een beetje anders te interpreteren, dan voor de andere.

2 artikels uit "Het laatste nieuws"
.
Griekse 'aardappelbeweging': recht van boer naar consument

Zo oud als het straat, natuurlijk, rechtstreeks van producent naar consument, maar uit overlevings-noodzaak zal deze vorm van handel zeker toenemen.

http://www.hln.be/hln/nl/960/Wereld/art ... ment.dhtml

Er zijn inmiddels plannen om de beweging, die in Griekenland ook groenten, bloem en vlees van lokale producenten aan lage prijzen aanbiedt, over heel Europa uit te breiden en zo de dure tussenpersonen uit te schakelen.

========================

2/ Andere vorm van koopkracht...no further comment

http://www.hln.be/hln/nl/3424/economisc ... reen.dhtml

Rollen zal het wel doen...het geld...en de rest

[eduro]

Californië gaat ook het putje in, het was natuurlijk al bekend maar de cijfers liegen er niet om.

link http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot. ... lunge.html

je wordt er bijna misselijk van

als dit meer bekend en geaccepteerd wordt denk ik dat de beurzen een leuke rally de kelder in zal maken.

Zoals de leap 63 al verwacht voor deze zomer.