Mmmm .... dus politici zijn armdoubleyou wrote:.
En rijkdom is natuurlijk relatief
Gezondheid.
Genieten.
Leven.
Financieel : niet het onderste uit de kan willen, maar ook tevreden zijn...
Quote : "Wie niet weet wanneer hij genoeg heeft is arm."
Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
-
Indiana Jones
- Freegold Member
- Posts: 4765
- Joined: 05 Oct 2011, 16:00
- Contact:
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
Everything that needs to be said has already been said.
But since no one was listening, everything must be said again.
But since no one was listening, everything must be said again.
-
Spruitje
- Freegold Member
- Posts: 2589
- Joined: 19 Oct 2011, 01:34
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
The Midas Touch Consulting Report
By: Florian Grummes | Thu, Mar 31, 2016
Gold is getting weaker. With today's reversal the weekly chart is likely going to lose its embedded slow stochastic. Finally! This trend-reinforcing special set up has been in place since early February. Without the embedded stochastic Gold would become very overbought on the weekly chart. But this does not mean that prices have to immediately roll over. More likely will be a continuation of the volatile consolidation between $1,200 and $1,280 with a final pullback towards the 200MA. The outlook for gold remains cautious for the next couple of weeks and months. But in the bigger picture it is very likely on its way towards $1,500 and should start moving again in early summer. Don't short it but stay at the sidelines and wait for the dips.
(volledig artikel)
By: Florian Grummes | Thu, Mar 31, 2016
Gold is getting weaker. With today's reversal the weekly chart is likely going to lose its embedded slow stochastic. Finally! This trend-reinforcing special set up has been in place since early February. Without the embedded stochastic Gold would become very overbought on the weekly chart. But this does not mean that prices have to immediately roll over. More likely will be a continuation of the volatile consolidation between $1,200 and $1,280 with a final pullback towards the 200MA. The outlook for gold remains cautious for the next couple of weeks and months. But in the bigger picture it is very likely on its way towards $1,500 and should start moving again in early summer. Don't short it but stay at the sidelines and wait for the dips.
(volledig artikel)Study while others are sleeping; work while others are loafing; prepare while others are playing; and dream while others are wishing.
- William Arthur Ward -
- William Arthur Ward -
-
Adamus
- Gold Member
- Posts: 1495
- Joined: 06 Oct 2011, 08:29
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
Another waar ben je 
-
Adamus
- Gold Member
- Posts: 1495
- Joined: 06 Oct 2011, 08:29
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
zit wat in, maar het probleem is het westerse socialisme en vooral als je niet tot de corporatieve- en politieke elite behoort. Was onderwijzer worden een manier om sociaal te stijgen, nu is dat de politiek. Hoewel ik dertigers ken die als afgestudeerd bestuurskundige werken bij de ABN afd. bijzonder beheer.....overheid + TBTFWanneer je op de loop moet voor een beer is het ook niet van belang om de snelste te zijn, je moet er alleen voor zorgen dat je niet de traagste bent.
-
Indiana Jones
- Freegold Member
- Posts: 4765
- Joined: 05 Oct 2011, 16:00
- Contact:
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
Posted on April 2, 2016,2:56 pm by Trader Dan
Gold Getting Stale ? – Charts and COTs
Notice on the very short term chart, a 2 hour run, gold has been in a steady decline since the middle of last month
with rallies attracting selling at the key resistance levels noted on the chart.
Price is currently holding below $1212 – $1210.
Initial resistance begins near $1225 and extends higher towards $1228. Above that lies $1237-$1240.
Watch out if that low near $1205 were to give way. There still remain a large number of spec longs in this market.
On a percentage basis, this is the largest combined large spec long position going back past 2011.
It should be noted that back in August 2011, gold peaked above $1900 with the large spec long position actually
at 39.1% compared to this week’s 40.3%. Also, this week’s combined large spec long position on a percentage basis
exceeded that of January 2015 which was at 40.0%. In other words, this trade remains very, very crowded.
Here is a chart showing the hedge fund only positioning compared to the gold price. Notice, that the number
of outright longs in this camp exceeded the January 2015 peak.
Here is the hedge fund NET LONG POSITION.
As you can see in this format, it remains below both the January 2015 peak and is certainly much lower than it
was back in 2011 when gold was above $1900. Viewed in this form, it does not look quite so intimidating.
Next is the Commercials/Swap Dealers NET positioning.
It remains significantly heavy.
Lastly, here is the standard format that we typically view.
So where to things stand now for gold? Answer – specs remain in a very bullish posture with commercials/swap dealers
remaining strongly bearish.
The key for this spec position, which remains heavy, is whether or not downside chart support levels will hold if
those are tested.
In going back to the Daily chart, I am struck by the fact that gold remains stuck beneath the median line of
the Bollinger Bands. That in itself is negative. One indicator is already in a sell mode;
the DMI lines are very close to generating a negative or a sell signal as well.
With that heavily lopsided large spec long position, and with an increasingly negative chart pattern forming,
if $1205 were to be tested and fail to hold, we will see a significant amount of selling hit this market.
I do not know whether $1205 will be tested; I can only say what will happen if it is tested and fails.
I could easily envision enough selling to bring price back down to the February spike low near $1190.
If that were to go, Katie bar the door.
On the upside, for the bulls to turn the current negative posture of the chart positive, they would need
to start by pushing price back above that median line of the Bollinger Bands which comes in near $1245.
It certainly is not helping their cause with the gold ETF, GLD, losing gold.
GLD shed another ton of gold yesterday. It lost about 5.6 tons of gold the past week.
That is going in the wrong direction if you want to be a bull.
The HUI is not very insightful as it is moving sideways between support and resistance.
Its current technical posture remains mixed.
The HUI/Gold ratio continues to hold up well – that is constructive but it should be noted that
it is not rising into fresh highs.
The problem for gold, in my view, is that you have a large number of STALE LONG positions in this market.
With traders these days having the attention span of a gnat, there is the risk of impatient longs
beginning to throw in the towel.
That would precipitate the selling avalanche that is possible when a market becomes this lopsidedly crowded
on the long side.
Again, at the risk of repeating myself… as long as key downside support levels do not fail, this speculative position
will be okay. If they do fail, all bets are off.
Bulls are going to need some fresh ammunition from somewhere soon.
WE can only get so much traction out of Yellen being a super dove for so long.
The market will shift, as it always does, into “WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO FOR ME NEXT”.
Yellen being a super dove is now old news. Negative interest rates in Europe is now old news.
Fed rate hikes being off the table for a while is old news. Bull markets need to be fed every day to keep going.
That is what is lacking right now. I am convinced that is why we are not seeing fresh inflows into GLD.
Something new needs to come along soon.
Gold Getting Stale ? – Charts and COTs
Notice on the very short term chart, a 2 hour run, gold has been in a steady decline since the middle of last month
with rallies attracting selling at the key resistance levels noted on the chart.
Price is currently holding below $1212 – $1210.
Initial resistance begins near $1225 and extends higher towards $1228. Above that lies $1237-$1240.
Watch out if that low near $1205 were to give way. There still remain a large number of spec longs in this market.
On a percentage basis, this is the largest combined large spec long position going back past 2011.
It should be noted that back in August 2011, gold peaked above $1900 with the large spec long position actually
at 39.1% compared to this week’s 40.3%. Also, this week’s combined large spec long position on a percentage basis
exceeded that of January 2015 which was at 40.0%. In other words, this trade remains very, very crowded.
Here is a chart showing the hedge fund only positioning compared to the gold price. Notice, that the number
of outright longs in this camp exceeded the January 2015 peak.
Here is the hedge fund NET LONG POSITION.
As you can see in this format, it remains below both the January 2015 peak and is certainly much lower than it
was back in 2011 when gold was above $1900. Viewed in this form, it does not look quite so intimidating.
Next is the Commercials/Swap Dealers NET positioning.
It remains significantly heavy.
Lastly, here is the standard format that we typically view.
So where to things stand now for gold? Answer – specs remain in a very bullish posture with commercials/swap dealers
remaining strongly bearish.
The key for this spec position, which remains heavy, is whether or not downside chart support levels will hold if
those are tested.
In going back to the Daily chart, I am struck by the fact that gold remains stuck beneath the median line of
the Bollinger Bands. That in itself is negative. One indicator is already in a sell mode;
the DMI lines are very close to generating a negative or a sell signal as well.
With that heavily lopsided large spec long position, and with an increasingly negative chart pattern forming,
if $1205 were to be tested and fail to hold, we will see a significant amount of selling hit this market.
I do not know whether $1205 will be tested; I can only say what will happen if it is tested and fails.
I could easily envision enough selling to bring price back down to the February spike low near $1190.
If that were to go, Katie bar the door.
On the upside, for the bulls to turn the current negative posture of the chart positive, they would need
to start by pushing price back above that median line of the Bollinger Bands which comes in near $1245.
It certainly is not helping their cause with the gold ETF, GLD, losing gold.
GLD shed another ton of gold yesterday. It lost about 5.6 tons of gold the past week.
That is going in the wrong direction if you want to be a bull.
The HUI is not very insightful as it is moving sideways between support and resistance.
Its current technical posture remains mixed.
The HUI/Gold ratio continues to hold up well – that is constructive but it should be noted that
it is not rising into fresh highs.
The problem for gold, in my view, is that you have a large number of STALE LONG positions in this market.
With traders these days having the attention span of a gnat, there is the risk of impatient longs
beginning to throw in the towel.
That would precipitate the selling avalanche that is possible when a market becomes this lopsidedly crowded
on the long side.
Again, at the risk of repeating myself… as long as key downside support levels do not fail, this speculative position
will be okay. If they do fail, all bets are off.
Bulls are going to need some fresh ammunition from somewhere soon.
WE can only get so much traction out of Yellen being a super dove for so long.
The market will shift, as it always does, into “WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO FOR ME NEXT”.
Yellen being a super dove is now old news. Negative interest rates in Europe is now old news.
Fed rate hikes being off the table for a while is old news. Bull markets need to be fed every day to keep going.
That is what is lacking right now. I am convinced that is why we are not seeing fresh inflows into GLD.
Something new needs to come along soon.
Everything that needs to be said has already been said.
But since no one was listening, everything must be said again.
But since no one was listening, everything must be said again.
-
Adamus
- Gold Member
- Posts: 1495
- Joined: 06 Oct 2011, 08:29
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
gaat de oorlog echt uitbreken in Eu en periferie dan gaat cash het misschien wel goed doen. Wel je briefjes van €500 omwisselen voor €10, €20 en €50 biljetten. Vergeet zilver.
Ijsland, Armenië, Belarus......er kan nog genoeg in de fik.
Ijsland, Armenië, Belarus......er kan nog genoeg in de fik.
-
Leo3.14
- Gold Member
- Posts: 1575
- Joined: 14 Dec 2013, 21:52
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
Technische indicatoren allemaal negatief.
Ik blijf positief : ik zie 2 golven voor $-goud.
Nog 3 te gaan.
Alle indicatoren lekker afgekoeld : we kunnen verder....
Ik blijf positief : ik zie 2 golven voor $-goud.
Nog 3 te gaan.
Alle indicatoren lekker afgekoeld : we kunnen verder....
- Attachments
-
- EWgold.png (34.41 KiB) Viewed 4130 times
Last edited by Leo3.14 on 07 Apr 2016, 20:46, edited 1 time in total.
Goud is een cyclisch edelmetaal
-
Adamus
- Gold Member
- Posts: 1495
- Joined: 06 Oct 2011, 08:29
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
en de goudbugs zich maar opwinden. Mijn redelijk betaalde 60plus vriendjes en vrindinnetjes hebben hun pensioengelden gewoon in een fonds (aegon.achmea,deltalloyd,robeco) gestopt en liggen nergens van.
-
doubleyou
- Gold Member
- Posts: 1685
- Joined: 05 Oct 2011, 22:25
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
Voor deze is het minder dan misschien geworden...ook niet oplettend natuurlijk.Adamus wrote:gaat de oorlog echt uitbreken in Eu en periferie dan gaat cash het misschien wel goed doen. Wel je briefjes van €500 omwisselen voor €10, €20 en €50 biljetten. Vergeet zilver.
Ijsland, Armenië, Belarus......er kan nog genoeg in de fik.
http://www.hln.be/hln/nl/959/Bizar/arti ... 0-000-euro
Een man in Duitsland is zijn spaarcenten kwijt. De 56-jarige had 100.000 euro in een enveloppe gestoken. De Duitser vergat de omslag op het dak van zijn wagen. De politie in Hildesheim laat vandaag weten dat de enveloppe nog altijd niet teruggevonden is.
Sinds 22 maart is de man op zoek naar zijn geld. De Duitser gaf aan dat hij het geld van de bank haalde omdat hij zijn centen liever zelf wilde bewaren. Maar hij bedacht zich en besloot om de biljetten in een omslag te steken en terug te brengen naar de bank.
Toen hij merkte dat hij zijn geld verloren had, begon hij een zoektocht. De man loofde ook een premie uit voor de vinder maar dat heeft voorlopig nog niet tot resultaten geleid. De politie hoopt dat een eerlijke vinder zich alsnog meldt.
"Feeling good, safe and prepared for the future with my own created Central Bank" (doubleyou)
-
Spruitje
- Freegold Member
- Posts: 2589
- Joined: 19 Oct 2011, 01:34
Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2016
Uw link werkt blijkbaar niet correct Doubleyou, hier de juiste...
Duitsland ... waar in Duitsland?
Een man... wat is zijn naam?
Moraal: "Wat was die man dom zeg om z'n centen weg te halen bij de bank".
Dat zijn zo van die artikels waarvan je d'er elke dag 1.000 kan schrijven, geen info, niets te verifiëren, zelfs geen info om de vinders aan te sporen. Gewoon nep-nieuws om het 'gevaar van cash' en de 'veiligheid van de banken' in de media te brengen.
Bron: OE24 (een Oostenrijkse krant), lees: massa-manipulatie.
Duitsland ... waar in Duitsland?
Een man... wat is zijn naam?
Moraal: "Wat was die man dom zeg om z'n centen weg te halen bij de bank".
Dat zijn zo van die artikels waarvan je d'er elke dag 1.000 kan schrijven, geen info, niets te verifiëren, zelfs geen info om de vinders aan te sporen. Gewoon nep-nieuws om het 'gevaar van cash' en de 'veiligheid van de banken' in de media te brengen.
Bron: OE24 (een Oostenrijkse krant), lees: massa-manipulatie.
Study while others are sleeping; work while others are loafing; prepare while others are playing; and dream while others are wishing.
- William Arthur Ward -
- William Arthur Ward -