Martin A. Armstrong - Economics

Dutch language haystack
Post Reply
User avatar
Indiana Jones
Freegold Member
Posts: 4726
Joined: 05 Oct 2011, 16:00
Contact:

Re: Martin A. Armstrong - Economics

Post by Indiana Jones » 05 Mar 2019, 16:57

Goud, DJI ... ze volgen op hun manier de E.C.M.
In de beleggingen zitten verschillende reversals en turning points.

T'is nooit van te voren te voorspellen wat een reversal cq turning point gaat doen ... Socrates weet alleen dat'ie eraan komen ... en ook wanneer precies! ... maar tijdens de handelsdagen op die triggerpoints valt pas te voorspellen welke kant het precies op gaat.
Daarom is timing zo belangrijk, want zit je tijdens zo'n triggerpoint 'verkeerd', dan kan het zuur je opbreken.

Lange Termijn voorspelling, zit in de lange termijn E.C.M. gebakken.
Hoe lang die termijn voor willekeurig welke onderliggende waarde dan precies gaat duren, hangt af van hetgeen 'de markt' doet tijdens de bovengenoemde triggerpoints.
Die 40K gaat er dus komen, wellicht nóg hoger dan dat.
Horizon ligt op uiterlijk 2032 .... of zoveel eerder, afhankelijk van hetgeen 'de markt' doet tijdens de triggerpoints.

----------------------------------

Socrates is dus telkens weer 'spot-on' ... alle andere voorspellingen zijn gestoeld op zogenaamde 'personal opinion', hetgeen Martin telkens maar weer erbij schrijft. Al het overige zijn 'rumors'

De commodity markt gaat rond 2020 weer richting het noorden vertrekken en goud zal daarin meegaan ... ook die markt volgt de E.C.M.
Hoe hoog goud cq zilver daarin zullen pieken, is thans nog koffiedik kijken 'personal opinion' ... maar zal hoger gaan dan de piek uit 2011 ;)
Everything that needs to be said has already been said.
But since no one was listening, everything must be said again.


User avatar
Indiana Jones
Freegold Member
Posts: 4726
Joined: 05 Oct 2011, 16:00
Contact:

Re: Martin A. Armstrong - Economics

Post by Indiana Jones » 17 Mar 2019, 15:44

Image

Capital concentrates into a single region and then into a single market. There is a cycle to this as well from within a region such as the hot market will be real estate, bonds, stocks, commodities, and then back to real estate. What makes a bubble is this concentration of capital. However, every market retains its own cycle and it is when that cycle lines up with the ECM that we get the big booms and busts. Gold has a 8 year cycle that is fractal building into a 64 year cycle. It peaked in 1980 and declined for 19 years until its model turned in 1998. Because gold has been used as money periodically, you must understand that in a gold standard, inflation means gold declines, whereas it is the opposite during a free market. Therefore, while the 64 year model shows an idealized peak for 1998, it is a turning point rather than a particular high of low. The low in gold at that time sets it up for its ultimate high against government 64 years later.

====================================================

Image

The 8.6 year frequency is fractal in nature and it may indeed work from different dates other than the formal dates we show on the ECM. This is a frequency that is inherent in everything and is fractal in nature. Its proper use is determining the shifts in capital flows to yield the boom bust cycle in the economy (global investment). It is by no means a universal model for every market. Cycle duration in Agriculture tend to be shorter and more volatile because they are also lined up with weather. The markets in financials (stocks & bonds) tend to be the longer than commodities, with the longest cycle duration being real estate.
This cycle has been present even in ancient data. So it is by no means geared to a single market nor should it be presumed to be a perfect model for an individual market. Each market has its own cycle. These are what we show in the Forecast Arrays which are not based on the ECM. It is the correlation of the individual market cycles to the ECM that we discover where capital will flow to next.
Everything that needs to be said has already been said.
But since no one was listening, everything must be said again.

User avatar
Spruitje
Freegold Member
Posts: 2426
Joined: 19 Oct 2011, 01:34

Re: Martin A. Armstrong - Economics

Post by Spruitje » 17 Mar 2019, 19:34

En om te checken of-ie steeds hetzelfde zegt.

Eentje uit de oude doos.
Study while others are sleeping; work while others are loafing; prepare while others are playing; and dream while others are wishing.
- William Arthur Ward -

Leo3.14
Gold Member
Posts: 1453
Joined: 14 Dec 2013, 21:52

Re: Martin A. Armstrong - Economics

Post by Leo3.14 » 18 Mar 2019, 11:03

Spruitje wrote:
17 Mar 2019, 19:34
En om te checken of-ie steeds hetzelfde zegt.

Eentje uit de oude doos.

'should produce a high in gold in 2024'.


NIET akkoord.
Ik zie een low in 2024.

Time will tell.

;)
Goud is een cyclisch metaal.

User avatar
Indiana Jones
Freegold Member
Posts: 4726
Joined: 05 Oct 2011, 16:00
Contact:

Re: Martin A. Armstrong - Economics

Post by Indiana Jones » 14 Jun 2019, 11:11

Gold & the Summer Rally
Thursday, 13 June 2019
Image
Attachments
Knipsel.PNG
Knipsel.PNG (74.84 KiB) Viewed 63 times
Everything that needs to be said has already been said.
But since no one was listening, everything must be said again.

Adamus
Gold Member
Posts: 1431
Joined: 06 Oct 2011, 08:29

Re: Martin A. Armstrong - Economics

Post by Adamus » 14 Jun 2019, 22:03

Leo3.14 wrote:
18 Mar 2019, 11:03
Spruitje wrote:
17 Mar 2019, 19:34
En om te checken of-ie steeds hetzelfde zegt.

Eentje uit de oude doos.

'should produce a high in gold in 2024'.


NIET akkoord.
Ik zie een low in 2024.

Time will tell.

;)
maakt niet uit. Hoogopgeleid Nederland maakt zich druk over het pensioenakkoord. 66 jaar en 4 maanden. Geluk zit in de details. :D

Adamus
Gold Member
Posts: 1431
Joined: 06 Oct 2011, 08:29

Re: Martin A. Armstrong - Economics

Post by Adamus » 14 Jun 2019, 22:06

Leo3.14 wrote:
18 Mar 2019, 11:03
Spruitje wrote:
17 Mar 2019, 19:34
En om te checken of-ie steeds hetzelfde zegt.

Eentje uit de oude doos.

'should produce a high in gold in 2024'.


NIET akkoord.
Ik zie een low in 2024.

Time will tell.

;)
dat kan ook in 1 jaar.

Post Reply