Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2011

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Indiana Jones
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad Okt.

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Lars Lindgren Goud 31-10-2011

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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad Okt.

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Lars Lindgren Zilver 31-10-2011

p.s. click op de grafiek om uit te vergroten

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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad Okt.

Post by Indiana Jones »

en dan ook maar de S&P500 van Lars voor een keertje ...... :)

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Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad Nov. 2011

Post by Indiana Jones »

Indy zit met zijn reeds eerder ingenomen turbo positie nog steeds long in goud. Ik heb de recente setback onder de $1700 net gemist, anders had ik nog wat bijgekocht. Dit voor wat betreft mijn gokpotje. Mijn lange termijn fysiekpositie blijft gewoon zoals die is.

Oude kennis Lars Lindgren maakt 2 eurografiekjes, want het kan namelijk twee kanten op. Let wel ..... dit is niet een Daily chart, maar een 4-Hour chart waarop je vanwege de huidige volatiliteit wat beter de korte termijn bewegingen kan zien c.q. proberen te voorspellen.

===========================================================

The future trend in the Euro/USD will more than likely have an effect on stocks and commodities.

We have outlined both a bearish scenario and a bullish scenario in the two charts below. Until further notice we have the short-term bearish scenario as the preferred Elliott Wave count.


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skyscraper
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2011

Post by skyscraper »

ik zie op de historische chart van de dji en s&p500 een massieve "cup en handle staan" die zich over de laatste 10 jaar ontwikkelde. daar gaat nog veel over geschreven worden... als het al te laat is.
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2011

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skyscraper wrote:ik zie op de historische chart van de dji en s&p500 een massieve "cup en handle staan" die zich over de laatste 10 jaar ontwikkelde. daar gaat nog veel over geschreven worden... als het al te laat is.
Martin Armstrong dit week-end
http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/Fi ... 4-2011.pdf

pagina 23 t/m 42 met een zeer uitgebreide technische outlook voor de DJI

Als je C&H dáárin past, weet je dat je goed zit.

;) Indy
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2011

Post by Indiana Jones »

Lars Lindgren USDX 7 november 2011

p.s. click op de grafiek (linksboven + of - ) om uit te vergroten, danwel te verkleinen...
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2011

Post by Indiana Jones »

Zojuist mijn positie (gemiddelde aankoop op $1675) op $1781 eruit gedaan en nu dus even geen goldcomex positie meer.
Ik verwacht een setback en als die er niet komt, dan toch vette winst ... :D
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Re: Technische Analyse, daytrading en speculatie draad 2011

Post by eduro »

Verstandig Indy
All truths are easy to understand once they are discovered; the point is to discover them. Galileo Galilei
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Gold pushes to $1800

Post by Indiana Jones »

Gold is putting in a very strong showing in today's session as it appears a large influx of new speculative money has found its way into this market. Investors are moving back into both gold and Treasuries as safe havens with gold being the favorite of the two - a nice development to say the least.

Buttressing gold's fortunes us a good showing by silver and a particularly good showing in the mining shares which are surging.

The $1800 level is a psychological resistance level because of the handle change from "17" to "18". If it can clear this level and keep oscillating above it, funds will come in and push it to the $1820 - $1825 level which is the next resistance zone on the chart.


Support should show up on any potential dip to $1755 - $1750 with very strong support now arising closer to $1720.

Note that this very strong move higher in gold is occuring with a backdrop of the US Dollar being relatively unchanged. That means gold is moving higher in terms of most all of the major foreign currencies - a sure sign that the metal is catching its bid as a SAFE HAVEN.


I want to emphasize this because we are repeatedly told by those who should know better that gold has failed as a safe haven. They say this because they do not understand the SHORT TERM effect of money flows in today's financial markets and how interwoven overall commodity market performance is to hedge fund computer algorithms.

Gold gets sold initially during such times of general risk aversion because it is part of the basket of commodities that comprise every single commodity sector index out there. Those indices include the CCI (Continuous Commodity Index), the CRB (Commodity Research Bureau) index, the Dow Jones/AIG Commodity Index or even the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI). Computers do not think - they just do whatever they are programmed to do and selling commodities across the board is programmed into these algorithms when certain pre-defined conditions occur. It takes independent thought and analysis, combined with DISCRETIONARY trading, and not system trading, to counteract some of this mindless buying or selling. Only when there is sufficient Discretionary trading taking place, can enough money flows arise to stem some of the effects from these computers.


That means we need buying in the physical gold market that looks for value to counter the hedge funds. That has been the pattern in the gold market for more than a decade now. Those who keep pronouncing such foolishness such as "gold is a poor safe haven", in order to say something designed to get themselves maximum exposure in the US financial press because of its shock value would be well advised to adopt a longer term view and broader their narrow perspective. They are wrong and could not be more ignorant.

Once the value-based buyers absorb the computer generated hedge fund selling, then the technical factors begin to improve for gold as its chart pattern improves and back in come the same hedge funds, this time on the buy side. That is what is happening today once again.

Trader Dan Norcini
http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/
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